Following the Election Returns: An hour-by-hour guide to tonight’s results–plus my predictions

Fund is arguably one of the best commentators on American politics.
John Fund

I hope those of you interested in the election got a good night’s sleep. This year the networks say they have learned from the mistakes they made in 2000, when they prematurely called Florida first for Al Gore and then for George W. Bush. As a result, they will exercise an abundance of caution in calling states and declaring winners of key Senate and gubernatorial races.

But this correspondent will tread where others fear to. In consultation with Henry Olsen, my good friend of 20 years’ standing, and someone who knows more about American politics than anyone I know other than Michael Barone (legendary author of the Almanac of American Politics), I am making the following predictions:

Popular vote: Bush 50.0%, Kerry 48.5%, Nader 1.0%, others 0.5%.

Electoral vote: Bush 296, Kerry 242.

Read the entire article on the Wall Street Journal website.

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